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“Global Warming,” “Climate Change” boosters think they have a tool in hurricane Harvey, but it is a tar baby for them when the facts are known.

These monster storms are a natural product of the physics of the Caribbean as it is a shallow ocean and near the equator. The mechanism is simple, but like many natural things include variables that complicate understanding. The most significant of which is our government.

That the Caribbean is only 2/5th the depth of the ocean’s average and near the equator makes it a natural birther for hurricanes. They can form in open oceans if conditions are right, but that has not been very often for 12 years. This is a consequence of our 18 year solar temperature decline indicated by waning sunspots which are like bubbles in boiling water. The more of them you see the greater the heat in the system. We are now seeing nearly none.

Hurricane birthing conditions include: Days of clear skies and sunlight heating calm surface water that is not churning or “turning over,” that is, moving vertically. Then, a quick forming of deep cloud cover with lots of moisture which the days of heating have contributed to as water in any form is a great infrared, IR, energy absorber from sunlight. This is the devil’s cauldron of monster storms.

When the sky changes from clear to deeply cloudy and dark the sea becomes a heat source rather than a heat sink with most of it coming out as additional water vapor, as the medium of heat transfer.

Meanwhile Earth is spinning under this system and where the south side of the Caribbean is at 20 degrees North, 140 miles, north of the equator it is moving easterly at 809 miles per hour, dropping 11.6 mph for every degree we move north, which is 70 miles on Earth.

The top of the Caribbean is ten degrees further north so the water there is moving west at 693 miles per hour in space, 116 miles per hour slower than 700 miles south. It is this 116 mph difference in velocity in space that causes the counter-clockwise storm spin north of the equator while such storms forming south of the equator spin in the opposite direction. This is the Coriolis Effect. There is no fixed, or reference place, in space so it is due to inertia alone.

The mass of air in Harvey is on the order of one trillion tons. It is moving over 100 miles per hour and can blow buildings down, carry tons of rain per cubic mile and cause the great havoc we have seen. To blame this on “Global Warming” or “Climate Change” caused by man’s carbon dioxide is ridiculous. This mechanism has been defined for many years.

If these conditions are seen hurricanes are predictable, but this has been ignored by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration as their thousands of Ph.D.s are all working on “man-caused global warming” because it can produce new taxes, a bigger bureau and more Ph.D.s to patch the myth. It is another enormous waste of tax money spent to create a taxable fable for a corrupt government that wants only to bleed the people.

Dr. William Gray, aka “Dr. Hurricane,” developed a system for predicting hurricanes, but apparently felt it was not sufficiently well defined or substantiated to publish before he passed on. It may have died with him unless he documented his work well and had an associate. We were associated with him briefly, but not his papers or plans and whether or not they are being seen to.

Nonetheless, the elements here are too basic for the mechanism to elude understanding and modeling if we ever get a government that does not think more of physical science than increasing its’ power over the people.

The opinions expressed in this commentary are solely those of the author and are not not necessarily either shared or endorsed by

Adrian Vance

Trained as a science teacher, with eight years classroom experience, he has been writing professionally since the age of 15. He was the youngest person to be published in Journal of the Illinois Academy of Science at 17 as a result of a paper he wrote suggesting a revision in the science teaching curriculum. Publication was accidental as his teacher headed the selection committee and his paper was sent to the printer in error. Nonetheless, it received positive response. It proposed teaching General Science, then Physics followed by Chemistry with Biology in the senior year given the then new molecular focus in Biology. During his college years he worked on the school newspaper, primarily as a photographer and did an occasional feature, some of which caused him to be called to the Dean's office. "You don't like the way we do things here?" was the usual opening remark followed by the expected suggestion. After his third year, exhausted and without direction, he left for one year, but returned, when Sputnik and Admiral Rickover's books documented a crisis in American education. He felt called to teach and completed a B.S. in Physical Science at Illinois State University with a major in chemistry, minor in biology, near minors physics and education. He did graduate work in both Illinois and California completing a California Life Diploma teaching credential in 1962. While teaching he saw many needs and opportunities in educational publishing so he wrote and produced educational materials, primarily filmstrips and sound recordings. He also wrote for photographic magazines as film work put him in touch with many photographic and production problems. He has 325 screen credits in educational, industrial film and filmstrip as a writer-producer. In 1976 he won the Learning Magazine “Best of the Year” award for his “You in the Universe” filmstrip series and the New York Film and Television Festival Silver Medal for “An Introduction to Cells” filmstrip series. For a partial database of Adrian’s publications please click on and you will see them listed by series title and publisher. Each series title included four to 30 filmstrips and all are not fully listed in this database. The grand total is over 800. Over that 30 years Mr. Vance also wrote other material: two books, published in New York: “UFO’s: The Eye and the Camera” for Barlenmir House and “Audiovisual Production” for Amphoto Books. He wrote and illustrated over 100 features and columns for photography magazines. He was a Founding Contributing Editor for Peterson's PhotoGraphic Magazine and the West Coast Editor of Popular Photography from 1974 to 1978, writing a monthly column for the magazine. As a result of underwater photography work he contributed to SKIN DIVER magazine in the 70's. His "Timing Waves to Enter The Sea" article, first appearing in SKIN DIVER, is now a chapter in a classified U.S. Navy Seals training manual. "UFO's, The Eye and the Camera" documents his "Two channel information theory for the analysis of events simultaneously seen and photographed." It is the first comparative analysis of vision and photography written with the idea of combining information from both sources into a single analysis that can be used scientifically and forensically. Mr. Vance is also credited with solving the mystery of how complete maps of Earth were drawn in antiquity and he rediscovered Captain Cook's secret method of locating Pacific islands so well their positions have only recently been improved. He is cited with discovering the method in the seventh edition of "The Maps of the Ancient Sea Kings," by Dr. Charles Hapgood and he later contributed to a definitive article on cartography in antiquity for The Smithsonian Magazine as they confirmed his method. On February 19, 1976 Mr. Vance got a “Certificate of Appreciation” award from the Los Angeles Police Department “in grateful recognition of his generosity in make available to officers of this Department the talents and training of his German Shepherd, Boris. The ready willingness of Mr. Adrian Vance to become involved and to make available his valuable dog in a potentially hazardous situation deserves the gratitude and approbation of the entire Los Angeles Police Department.” This incident was critical to the LAPD administration’s realization that trained dogs could be of value in police work and they are now employed by the LAPD. When the computer replaced film the school market audio-visual field he switched horses at full gallop and produced 460 computer educational disk systems for the Apple II computer over 15 years. During that time he became a professional broadcaster in the 90's to promote the State Water bond issue in Santa Barbara, California as he felt it was critical for the town. He was publicly credited for having been one of the top ten reasons the measure passed thanks to his book “Drought in Paradise” and radio work. The collapse of his software business when Apple Computer discontinued the "II" machine line in 1995 crystallized the failure of his second marriage. With no clear direction in the school market supplemental materials field he sought a career in broadcasting in Las Vegas, Nevada doing shows on both KDWN and KXNT. This was unsatisfying due to the "star" economics of commercial radio where a few performers make millions and everyone else starves. Mr. Vance has also been a day trader, strategist, system developer and author on the equities markets and trading. He now trades stock, land and develops residential property. His website and trading information service, "The Stock Surfer" was a leading Internet service for seven years. He has been developing “The Young Americans” series of Young Adult novels promoting conservative values as well as his personal memoir, “A Long Way From Normal.” You can buy Adrian Vance’ books or downloads at December 21, 2010 he was awarded US. Patent 7,855,061 for his “Fuel Farm” that makes a gasoline equivalent 100 Octane fuel, butanol, from CO2, water and sunlight with algae and bacteria. You can see the full disclosure websites regarding his inventions at: and -30-


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