A new NBC/Telemundo poll shows that Hispanic support for the Democrat Party has dropped by a huge number in the last decade.
This is horrendous news for the Democrats because even a loss of a few percentage points among Hispanics will throw many elections to the GOP.
NBC News’ Mark Murray recently tweeted about the poll and noted that in 2012 Latinos preferred a Democrat-led Congress over Republicans by 42 points. By 2022, that difference dropped to 21 points.
The headlines from our national NBC/Telemundo Latino poll:
1. Democrats hold a 21pt lead in congressional preference among Latino voters (54%-33%).
But that advantage is down from past cycles, including 10 yrs ago when NBC/Telemundo had Democrats at +42 pic.twitter.com/2Mfx7pqvuR
— Mark Murray (@mmurraypolitics) October 2, 2022
Hispanic voters still favor the Democrats by a wide margin (54 for Dems to 33 for GOP), of course, but that still shows a huge rise of Hispanic support of the GOP.
In years past, the GOP share of the Hispanic vote was lucky to be in the low teens.
Indeed, Trump earned the highest Hispanic vote of any GOP candidate, hitting 28 percent in 2016 and 32 percent in 2020. So, this Telemundo poll seems to be right on the mark.
The Hispanic numbers have been growing for the GOP for years. And every year puts the block of voters one more percentage toward parity. This is bad, bad news for the Democrats because if they can’t expect the Hispanic and Black votes to be more than 90 percent in their favor all the time, then they cannot win.Commentary